The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia sent a signal about renewed recession risks just one day after its president said the U.S. economy is growing and doesn’t need exceptional measures. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser said two days ago his policy-making colleagues at the central bank painted a picture that was “more negative than justified” last week. Yesterday, Plosser’s regional bank said its manufacturing index plunged to the lowest level in 2 1/2 years, helping to push stocks down as much as 5 percent.
“He did say business leaders he talked to were pessimistic on growth, although he thought the economy would continue to expand,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, referring to Plosser. “But he didn’t realize his index the next day would signal recession? That’s the irony here.”
The mixed messages from Philadelphia provide one more dose of uncertainty to markets already dealing with Europe’s debt crisis and the aftermath of Standard & Poor’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. Fed policy makers said Aug. 9 they expect a “somewhat slower pace of recovery” than they foresaw previously.